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Red106
249532.5
31658.0
704529.2
Blue111
32147.9
48460.4
10239.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1001256080140160180200220106111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+5Teleop
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave3
5Coral scored#7
23Coral points34
26Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +16
13Coral scored#13
48Coral points46
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
76Total teleop60
Reef
6L4#8
6L3#5
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points0
106Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#20
58.00.5
42.142.6
Auto15.3
Teleop39.6
End3.0
blue by 2.4
484
#22
60.40.5
48.948.4
Auto16.0
Teleop37.9
End6.6
Second
2495
#56
32.50.5
30.831.3
Auto6.2
Teleop24.1
End2.2
blue by 15.4
321
#38
47.90.5
40.139.6
Auto15.9
Teleop26.7
End5.3
Third
7045
#37
29.20.5
25.425.9
Auto6.5
Teleop18.3
End4.4
blue by 10.4
102
#43
39.60.5
29.629.0
Auto9.8
Teleop27.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsEarned