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Red132
331480.3
19339.8
1015722.5
Blue140
741447.4
5638.1
589584.9
17%Model gave it83%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130163100150200132140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+28
Endgame+12
Fouls+8
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
6Coral scored#5
31Coral points24
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +35
15Coral scored#21
55Coral points74
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#5
12Processor points12
4Net points20
16Algae points32
71Total teleop106
Reef
9L4#13
4L3#5
4L2#6
4L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#33
BargeRed +16
20Cage & park4
20Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
4Foul points0
132Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3314
#15
80.30.3
71.371.6
Auto19.8
Teleop47.9
End12.6
blue by 4.6
84.90.7
74.573.8
Auto25.3
Teleop51.0
End8.6
Second
193
#48
39.80.3
32.632.9
Auto7.9
Teleop27.0
End4.8
blue by 7.6
7414
#28
47.40.7
40.840.1
Auto9.1
Teleop32.3
End6.0
Third
22.50.3
19.019.4
Auto5.9
Teleop12.0
End4.6
blue by 15.6
56
#51
38.10.7
34.834.1
Auto6.6
Teleop30.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed39%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsMissed