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Red211
34180.3
164052.5
181145.2
Blue125
434249.5
2537.9
436126.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1649050150200250211125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+78Teleop
+86Endgame
+86Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave6
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points13
37Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +60
26Coral scored#19
94Coral points68
4Processor algae#1
8Net algae#4
24Processor points6
32Net points16
56Algae points22
150Total teleop90
Reef
12L4#7
8L3#7
8L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
44Game pieces#27
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +86
0Foul points0
211Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#1
80.32.4
64.466.8
Auto13.6
Teleop56.9
End9.8
red by 30.8
4342
#36
49.50.4
39.840.2
Auto7.8
Teleop36.1
End5.5
Second
1640
#11
52.52.4
41.844.2
Auto11.8
Teleop33.8
End6.9
red by 14.6
25
#41
37.90.4
29.529.9
Auto5.8
Teleop29.4
End2.6
Third
1811
#32
45.22.4
42.244.6
Auto7.6
Teleop34.7
End3.0
red by 19.0
4361
#54
26.20.4
20.120.5
Auto7.1
Teleop11.0
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
38%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsEarned