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Qual 72025 FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship
Red108
465338.4
1159.8
314260.3
Blue149
171245.7
29343.3
599241.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17012980100120140160180200220240108149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
Teleop+29
Endgame+43
Fouls+41
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave3
7Coral scored#3
34Coral points13
34Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +47
11Coral scored#24
38Coral points87
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#3
12Processor points18
20Net points12
32Algae points30
70Total teleop117
Reef
7L4#11
5L3#6
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
25Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
2Foul points0
108Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3142
#24
60.33.8
54.6→50.8
Auto13.2
Teleop38.3
End8.7
red by 14.5
1712
#31
45.71.2
36.8→38.0
Auto7.1
Teleop31.3
End7.4
Second
11
#26
59.83.8
50.6→46.8
Auto11.6
Teleop40.2
End8.0
red by 16.5
293
#45
43.31.2
35.2→36.4
Auto13.0
Teleop21.0
End9.3
Third
4653
#53
38.43.8
38.8→35.0
Auto11.6
Teleop18.6
End8.2
blue by 3.1
5992
#40
41.41.2
38.6→39.8
Auto6.6
Teleop34.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsMissed85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsEarned