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Qual 412025 FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship
Red197
434249.5
34180.3
599241.4
Blue211
31658.0
260781.4
22250.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions171166140150160180190200210197211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+4
Endgame+16
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +18
0Leave0
5Coral scored#9
26Coral points44
26Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +14
31Coral scored#22
111Coral points79
4Processor algae#3
5Net algae#11
24Processor points18
20Net points44
44Algae points62
155Total teleop141
Reef
10L4#11
16L3#6
5L2#7
5L1 · trough#7
45Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
2Foul points0
197Total score211

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#1
80.31.7
73.9→75.6
Auto13.6
Teleop56.9
End9.8
blue by 1.1
2607
#2
81.42.6
71.1→73.7
Auto19.2
Teleop50.4
End11.7
Second
4342
#36
49.51.7
43.1→44.8
Auto7.8
Teleop36.1
End5.5
blue by 8.5
316
#20
58.02.6
42.3→44.9
Auto15.3
Teleop39.6
End3.0
Third
5992
#40
41.41.7
40.7→42.5
Auto6.6
Teleop34.2
End0.6
blue by 9.1
222
#42
50.52.6
47.1→49.7
Auto6.3
Teleop36.9
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
42%Coral oddsEarned43%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned