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Qual 422025 FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship
Red160
32147.9
7550.1
851364.6
Blue201
22348.4
121865.9
167659.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172159100120140180200220240260160201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+41
Endgame+47
Fouls+41
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
10Coral scored#12
52Coral points58
58Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +41
11Coral scored#23
40Coral points83
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#7
18Processor points12
24Net points28
42Algae points40
82Total teleop123
Reef
8L4#16
5L3#8
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#6
30Game pieces#44
BargeBlue +6
14Cage & park20
14Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
6Foul points0
160Total score201

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8513
#7
64.60.6
63.6→63.0
Auto20.5
Teleop35.6
End8.5
blue by 1.3
1218
#6
65.93.3
54.7→58.0
Auto19.7
Teleop37.1
End9.1
Second
75
#55
50.10.6
46.6→46.1
Auto13.7
Teleop30.7
End5.7
blue by 9.5
1676
#16
59.63.3
51.9→55.2
Auto14.6
Teleop37.0
End8.0
Third
321
#38
47.90.6
43.1→42.5
Auto15.9
Teleop26.7
End5.3
blue by 0.5
223
#52
48.43.3
37.3→40.6
Auto8.5
Teleop37.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed39%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned