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Qual 462025 FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship
Red162
70854.9
255446.8
171245.7
Blue185
10239.6
540155.4
139162.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions171159100150200250162185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+33
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points21
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +33
18Coral scored#29
64Coral points105
5Processor algae#3
6Net algae#7
30Processor points18
24Net points28
54Algae points46
118Total teleop151
Reef
10L4#12
6L3#11
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
34Game pieces#43
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
162Total score185

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
708
#23
54.90.1
51.8→51.7
Auto11.3
Teleop35.7
End7.8
blue by 7.4
1391
#19
62.31.7
57.4→59.1
Auto12.8
Teleop40.9
End8.7
Second
2554
#17
46.80.1
40.4→40.4
Auto13.2
Teleop30.9
End2.8
blue by 8.6
5401
#25
55.41.7
41.2→42.9
Auto7.7
Teleop41.7
End6.0
Third
1712
#31
45.70.1
41.3→41.2
Auto7.1
Teleop31.3
End7.4
red by 6.1
102
#43
39.61.7
34.1→35.8
Auto9.8
Teleop27.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
74%Coral oddsEarned48%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned61%Barge oddsMissed