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Qual 522025 FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship
Red114
245824.8
22250.5
32147.9
Blue181
36569.4
2537.9
55552.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126161100150200250114181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+27
Teleop+57
Endgame+67
Fouls+67
AutonomousBlue +27
6Leave6
3Coral scored#9
17Coral points44
23Total auto50
TeleoperatedBlue +30
16Coral scored#18
59Coral points63
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#9
12Processor points18
16Net points36
28Algae points54
87Total teleop117
Reef
9L4#11
4L3#7
3L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +67
0Foul points0
114Total score181

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#42
50.50.8
49.7→48.9
Auto6.3
Teleop36.9
End7.4
blue by 18.8
365
#4
69.42.0
60.8→62.8
Auto13.7
Teleop47.2
End8.5
Second
321
#38
47.90.8
42.5→41.7
Auto15.9
Teleop26.7
End5.3
blue by 4.5
555
#21
52.42.0
45.3→47.2
Auto13.2
Teleop31.5
End7.7
Third
2458
#49
24.80.8
22.3→21.6
Auto4.9
Teleop16.3
End3.6
blue by 13.0
25
#41
37.92.0
34.2→36.2
Auto5.8
Teleop29.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned34%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
74%Barge oddsMissed91%Barge oddsEarned