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Qual 532025 FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship
Red137
1015722.5
253970.3
22348.4
Blue141
171245.7
139162.3
140349.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions158172100120140180200220137141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+2Teleop
+2Endgame
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave9
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points24
23Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +12
21Coral scored#14
74Coral points52
1Processor algae#4
5Net algae#3
6Processor points24
20Net points12
26Algae points36
100Total teleop88
Reef
7L4#8
7L3#5
6L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points6
137Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2539
#10
70.31.3
69.2→67.9
Auto16.2
Teleop45.2
End8.9
red by 8.0
1391
#19
62.32.2
59.1→57.0
Auto12.8
Teleop40.9
End8.7
Second
223
#52
48.41.3
40.6→39.3
Auto8.5
Teleop37.2
End2.7
blue by 0.9
1403
#29
49.32.2
40.7→38.6
Auto14.1
Teleop29.1
End6.0
Third
10157
#46
22.51.3
21.9→20.7
Auto5.9
Teleop12.0
End4.6
blue by 23.3
1712
#31
45.72.2
41.2→39.1
Auto7.1
Teleop31.3
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
35%Coral oddsMissed41%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned72%Barge oddsEarned