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Red213
10364.5
540155.4
108951.3
Blue147
272241.0
941624.8
10239.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17810450150200250213147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+56Teleop
+66Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave9
6Coral scored#6
28Coral points31
37Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +59
33Coral scored#21
118Coral points75
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
24Processor points12
20Net points16
44Algae points28
162Total teleop103
Reef
14L4#13
11L3#7
7L2#4
7L1 · trough#3
48Game pieces#33
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +66
0Foul points0
213Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
#13
64.52.9
58.561.4
Auto8.7
Teleop50.4
End5.4
red by 23.6
2722
#44
41.01.7
44.746.5
Auto12.2
Teleop29.2
End-0.4
Second
5401
#25
55.42.9
42.945.8
Auto7.7
Teleop41.7
End6.0
red by 15.8
102
#43
39.61.7
35.837.5
Auto9.8
Teleop27.3
End2.6
Third
1089
#58
51.32.9
48.951.8
Auto15.5
Teleop33.3
End2.5
red by 26.5
9416
#60
24.81.7
20.121.9
Auto6.1
Teleop16.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
50%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed