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Red164
314260.3
851364.6
181145.2
Blue129
909459.8
704529.2
164052.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions180139100150200250164129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+37Teleop
+37Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave9
7Coral scored#4
37Coral points20
40Total auto29
TeleoperatedRed +26
18Coral scored#14
66Coral points50
4Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
24Processor points18
20Net points16
44Algae points34
110Total teleop84
Reef
8L4#7
6L3#5
8L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points2
164Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.60.9
63.062.1
Auto20.5
Teleop35.6
End8.5
red by 4.8
9094
#30
59.81.0
53.352.2
Auto14.1
Teleop37.7
End8.0
Second
3142
#24
60.30.9
57.756.8
Auto13.2
Teleop38.3
End8.7
red by 7.8
1640
#11
52.51.0
47.646.5
Auto11.8
Teleop33.8
End6.9
Third
1811
#32
45.20.9
47.947.0
Auto7.6
Teleop34.7
End3.0
red by 16.0
7045
#37
29.21.0
30.529.5
Auto6.5
Teleop18.3
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
50%Coral oddsMissed39%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsEarned