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Qual 592025 FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship
Red116
741447.4
249532.5
680833.2
Blue181
192364.5
465338.4
260781.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11220450150250300116181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+31
Teleop+47
Endgame+61
Fouls+65
AutonomousBlue +31
3Leave6
2Coral scored#8
10Coral points38
13Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +16
20Coral scored#24
71Coral points85
4Processor algae#1
2Net algae#7
24Processor points6
8Net points28
32Algae points34
103Total teleop119
Reef
10L4#15
5L3#8
3L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +14
0Cage & park14
0Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +65
0Foul points4
116Total score181

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7414
#28
47.40.1
41.5→41.4
Auto9.1
Teleop32.3
End6.0
blue by 34.0
2607
#2
81.40.6
73.7→73.2
Auto19.2
Teleop50.4
End11.7
Second
6808
#59
33.20.1
30.3→30.2
Auto6.1
Teleop24.3
End2.9
blue by 31.2
1923
#5
64.50.6
59.4→58.8
Auto20.8
Teleop42.0
End1.6
Third
2495
#56
32.50.1
34.8→34.7
Auto6.2
Teleop24.1
End2.2
blue by 5.8
4653
#53
38.40.6
40.7→40.1
Auto11.6
Teleop18.6
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed59%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed90%Barge oddsEarned