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Red182
121865.9
180759.1
901556.9
Blue134
272035.3
125754.9
518156.0
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions187141100200250182134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+48Teleop
+48Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave3
9Coral scored#4
45Coral points20
51Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +20
24Coral scored#23
85Coral points81
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#1
12Processor points12
20Net points4
32Algae points16
117Total teleop97
Reef
8L4#11
13L3#7
6L2#5
6L1 · trough#4
40Game pieces#30
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points0
182Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.90.7
58.058.7
Auto19.7
Teleop37.1
End9.1
red by 9.9
56.00.1
45.145.2
Auto9.0
Teleop42.4
End4.6
Second
1807
#39
59.10.7
56.657.4
Auto10.6
Teleop42.6
End5.9
red by 4.2
1257
#12
54.90.1
45.245.3
Auto11.2
Teleop39.3
End4.4
Third
9015
#34
56.90.7
51.151.8
Auto12.7
Teleop39.2
End5.0
red by 21.6
2720
#57
35.30.1
36.436.5
Auto7.1
Teleop21.8
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
75%Coral oddsEarned69%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsEarned