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Red125
140349.3
1015722.5
83462.6
Blue115
22348.4
568434.2
32147.9
74%Model gave it26%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13511150100150200125115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+4Teleop
+14Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave0
5Coral scored#8
27Coral points40
30Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +14
17Coral scored#15
61Coral points53
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
81Total teleop67
Reef
7L4#6
7L3#8
6L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
26Game pieces#26
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points4
125Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#9
62.60.0
65.365.3
Auto14.6
Teleop38.6
End9.4
red by 14.2
223
#52
48.40.3
39.339.6
Auto8.5
Teleop37.2
End2.7
Second
1403
#29
49.30.0
38.638.6
Auto14.1
Teleop29.1
End6.0
red by 1.4
321
#38
47.90.3
41.742.0
Auto15.9
Teleop26.7
End5.3
Third
22.50.0
20.720.7
Auto5.9
Teleop12.0
End4.6
blue by 11.7
5684
#35
34.20.3
26.026.2
Auto8.4
Teleop17.1
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsMissed