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Qual 672025 FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship
Red140
465338.4
10239.6
259055.5
Blue148
7550.1
363751.3
180759.1
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13616850100150200140148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+16
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
6Coral scored#7
28Coral points34
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +16
18Coral scored#24
63Coral points85
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
18Processor points12
8Net points8
26Algae points20
89Total teleop105
Reef
10L4#13
7L3#5
3L2#9
4L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#35
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
140Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2590
#27
55.50.7
47.0→47.6
Auto11.6
Teleop35.5
End8.4
blue by 3.6
1807
#39
59.10.4
57.4→57.0
Auto10.6
Teleop42.6
End5.9
Second
102
#43
39.60.7
37.5→38.2
Auto9.8
Teleop27.3
End2.6
blue by 11.6
3637
#33
51.30.4
45.5→45.1
Auto11.0
Teleop32.0
End8.3
Third
4653
#53
38.40.7
40.1→40.8
Auto11.6
Teleop18.6
End8.2
blue by 11.7
75
#55
50.10.4
45.0→44.6
Auto13.7
Teleop30.7
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsMissed