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Red162
116848.9
314260.3
680833.2
Blue175
19339.8
851364.6
36569.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145172100200250162175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+23
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
6Coral scored#7
31Coral points37
40Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +26
14Coral scored#27
52Coral points96
3Processor algae#2
7Net algae#4
18Processor points12
28Net points16
46Algae points28
98Total teleop124
Reef
5L4#14
7L3#11
6L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#40
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
162Total score175

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3142
#24
60.30.8
56.857.6
Auto13.2
Teleop38.3
End8.7
blue by 9.1
365
#4
69.40.3
62.863.1
Auto13.7
Teleop47.2
End8.5
Second
1168
#50
48.90.8
51.552.3
Auto11.9
Teleop28.1
End8.9
blue by 15.6
64.60.3
62.162.5
Auto20.5
Teleop35.6
End8.5
Third
6808
#59
33.20.8
30.231.1
Auto6.1
Teleop24.3
End2.9
blue by 6.5
193
#48
39.80.3
33.934.2
Auto7.9
Teleop27.0
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsEarned64%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsEarned