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Red213
31658.0
589584.9
70854.9
Blue122
704529.2
55552.4
941624.8
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20910250150250300213122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+32Auto
+81Teleop
+91Endgame
+91Fouls
AutonomousRed +32
3Leave0
12Coral scored#7
62Coral points33
65Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +49
16Coral scored#13
58Coral points45
5Processor algae#3
9Net algae#3
30Processor points18
36Net points12
66Algae points30
124Total teleop75
Reef
6L4#6
9L3#4
8L2#6
5L1 · trough#4
42Game pieces#26
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +91
0Foul points0
213Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.91.3
81.783.0
Auto25.3
Teleop51.0
End8.6
red by 32.5
555
#21
52.40.6
47.247.8
Auto13.2
Teleop31.5
End7.7
Second
316
#20
58.01.3
47.048.3
Auto15.3
Teleop39.6
End3.0
red by 28.8
7045
#37
29.20.6
29.530.1
Auto6.5
Teleop18.3
End4.4
Third
708
#23
54.91.3
50.652.0
Auto11.3
Teleop35.7
End7.8
red by 30.1
9416
#60
24.80.6
21.922.5
Auto6.1
Teleop16.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
83%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned61%Barge oddsEarned