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Qual 692025 FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship
Red148
29343.3
260781.4
245824.8
Blue129
5638.1
901556.9
909459.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14414950100200250300148129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+11Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave0
6Coral scored#5
31Coral points23
34Total auto23
Teleoperatedlevel
17Coral scored#21
60Coral points74
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
18Processor points12
20Net points12
38Algae points24
98Total teleop98
Reef
8L4#10
6L3#9
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#31
BargeRed +8
16Cage & park8
16Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
148Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2607
#2
81.40.8
73.2→73.9
Auto19.2
Teleop50.4
End11.7
red by 21.5
9094
#30
59.80.7
52.2→51.5
Auto14.1
Teleop37.7
End8.0
Second
293
#45
43.30.8
41.6→42.3
Auto13.0
Teleop21.0
End9.3
blue by 13.6
9015
#34
56.90.7
51.8→51.1
Auto12.7
Teleop39.2
End5.0
Third
2458
#49
24.80.8
21.6→22.3
Auto4.9
Teleop16.3
End3.6
blue by 13.3
56
#51
38.10.7
36.1→35.4
Auto6.6
Teleop30.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsMissed94%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed39%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed