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Red181
164052.5
540155.4
518156.0
Blue155
272035.3
249532.5
192364.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions164148120140180200220240181155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+34Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
6Coral scored#6
30Coral points31
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +41
27Coral scored#19
97Coral points70
4Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
24Processor points18
24Net points16
48Algae points34
145Total teleop104
Reef
9L4#8
13L3#7
6L2#6
5L1 · trough#4
43Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
181Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.02.1
45.247.3
Auto9.0
Teleop42.4
End4.6
blue by 8.5
64.50.9
58.859.7
Auto20.8
Teleop42.0
End1.6
Second
5401
#25
55.42.1
45.848.0
Auto7.7
Teleop41.7
End6.0
red by 20.1
2720
#57
35.30.9
36.537.4
Auto7.1
Teleop21.8
End6.4
Third
1640
#11
52.52.1
46.548.7
Auto11.8
Teleop33.8
End6.9
red by 19.9
2495
#56
32.50.9
34.735.7
Auto6.2
Teleop24.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
67%Coral oddsEarned29%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
90%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsEarned