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Red155
108951.3
139162.3
1015722.5
Blue168
55552.4
434249.5
83462.6
14%Model gave it86%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138173100150200250155168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+19
Endgame+17
Fouls+13
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave9
6Coral scored#4
31Coral points21
40Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +29
17Coral scored#22
61Coral points78
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
6Processor points18
16Net points16
22Algae points34
83Total teleop112
Reef
11L4#12
5L3#4
3L2#7
4L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#33
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
6Foul points2
155Total score168

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1391
#19
62.31.3
58.359.6
Auto12.8
Teleop40.9
End8.7
blue by 0.2
834
#9
62.60.4
65.365.7
Auto14.6
Teleop38.6
End9.4
Second
1089
#58
51.31.3
50.952.2
Auto15.5
Teleop33.3
End2.5
blue by 1.1
555
#21
52.40.4
47.848.2
Auto13.2
Teleop31.5
End7.7
Third
22.51.3
20.722.0
Auto5.9
Teleop12.0
End4.6
blue by 27.0
4342
#36
49.50.4
46.947.3
Auto7.8
Teleop36.1
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
41%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned