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Red172
32147.9
704529.2
171245.7
Blue165
331480.3
1014328.6
941624.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147157050100200250300350172165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+7Teleop
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave3
5Coral scored#7
27Coral points33
30Total auto36
TeleoperatedRed +13
21Coral scored#19
74Coral points69
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
18Processor points6
16Net points20
34Algae points26
108Total teleop95
Reef
12L4#12
5L3#8
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
8Foul points8
172Total score165

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
321
#38
47.91.9
42.043.9
Auto15.9
Teleop26.7
End5.3
blue by 32.4
3314
#15
80.30.9
74.575.4
Auto19.8
Teleop47.9
End12.6
Second
1712
#31
45.71.9
39.541.4
Auto7.1
Teleop31.3
End7.4
red by 17.1
28.60.9
26.227.0
Auto5.9
Teleop20.3
End2.5
Third
7045
#37
29.21.9
30.132.0
Auto6.5
Teleop18.3
End4.4
red by 4.4
9416
#60
24.80.9
22.523.3
Auto6.1
Teleop16.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned