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Qual 752025 FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship
Red138
437346.9
680833.2
140349.3
Blue184
121865.9
31658.0
314260.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11217850100150200250138184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+32
Teleop+56
Endgame+46
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +32
9Leave9
3Coral scored#10
17Coral points49
26Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +24
17Coral scored#24
60Coral points88
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
88Total teleop112
Reef
5L4#9
9L3#8
4L2#12
2L1 · trough#5
26Game pieces#39
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points0
138Total score184

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1403
#29
49.31.7
38.6→40.3
Auto14.1
Teleop29.1
End6.0
blue by 16.6
1218
#6
65.91.3
58.1→59.5
Auto19.7
Teleop37.1
End9.1
Second
4373
#18
46.91.7
42.2→44.0
Auto11.4
Teleop30.1
End5.5
blue by 13.4
3142
#24
60.31.3
57.6→58.9
Auto13.2
Teleop38.3
End8.7
Third
6808
#59
33.21.7
31.1→32.8
Auto6.1
Teleop24.3
End2.9
blue by 24.8
316
#20
58.01.3
48.3→49.6
Auto15.3
Teleop39.6
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned68%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned