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Qual 762025 FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship
Red171
22250.5
7550.1
901556.9
Blue178
909459.8
253970.3
1159.8
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152191120140160180200220240260171178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+19
Endgame+1
Fouls+7
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points24
33Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +22
24Coral scored#28
86Coral points102
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
12Processor points18
16Net points16
28Algae points34
114Total teleop136
Reef
14L4#12
5L3#10
8L2#8
2L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#40
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points6
171Total score178

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9015
#34
56.91.0
51.1→52.1
Auto12.7
Teleop39.2
End5.0
blue by 13.4
2539
#10
70.30.7
68.3→67.6
Auto16.2
Teleop45.2
End8.9
Second
222
#42
50.51.0
49.3→50.3
Auto6.3
Teleop36.9
End7.4
blue by 9.3
9094
#30
59.80.7
51.5→50.8
Auto14.1
Teleop37.7
End8.0
Third
75
#55
50.11.0
44.6→45.6
Auto13.7
Teleop30.7
End5.7
blue by 9.7
11
#26
59.80.7
52.0→51.3
Auto11.6
Teleop40.2
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
27%Coral oddsEarned67%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsMissed