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Red164
540155.4
741447.4
363751.3
Blue156
2537.9
125754.9
29343.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15013180100120140160180200220240164156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+12Auto
+12Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +12
6Leave3
5Coral scored#3
25Coral points16
31Total auto19
Teleoperatedlevel
23Coral scored#21
81Coral points77
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#6
18Processor points18
20Net points24
38Algae points42
119Total teleop119
Reef
9L4#7
7L3#10
7L2#3
5L1 · trough#4
36Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +4
14Cage & park18
14Total endgame18
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
164Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5401
#25
55.41.3
48.049.2
Auto7.7
Teleop41.7
End6.0
red by 0.5
1257
#12
54.91.5
44.746.2
Auto11.2
Teleop39.3
End4.4
Second
3637
#33
51.31.3
45.146.4
Auto11.0
Teleop32.0
End8.3
red by 8.0
293
#45
43.31.5
42.343.9
Auto13.0
Teleop21.0
End9.3
Third
7414
#28
47.41.3
40.942.1
Auto9.1
Teleop32.3
End6.0
red by 9.5
25
#41
37.91.5
34.936.4
Auto5.8
Teleop29.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
25%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned72%Barge oddsEarned