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Red229
36569.4
518156.0
589584.9
Blue123
249532.5
164052.5
568434.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22211250100150200250300229123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+96Teleop
+108Endgame
+106Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
9Leave3
8Coral scored#4
38Coral points20
47Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +72
22Coral scored#17
80Coral points60
6Processor algae#2
10Net algae#3
36Processor points12
40Net points12
76Algae points24
156Total teleop84
Reef
10L4#6
11L3#7
3L2#4
6L1 · trough#4
46Game pieces#26
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +106
0Foul points2
229Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.91.4
83.084.4
Auto25.3
Teleop51.0
End8.6
red by 32.4
1640
#11
52.50.3
48.748.4
Auto11.8
Teleop33.8
End6.9
Second
365
#4
69.41.4
63.164.6
Auto13.7
Teleop47.2
End8.5
red by 35.2
5684
#35
34.20.3
26.226.0
Auto8.4
Teleop17.1
End8.6
Third
56.01.4
47.348.8
Auto9.0
Teleop42.4
End4.6
red by 23.4
2495
#56
32.50.3
35.735.4
Auto6.2
Teleop24.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
94%Coral oddsEarned28%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsEarned