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Red126
22250.5
19339.8
29343.3
Blue150
941624.8
518156.0
48460.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145147100120160180200220126150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+40
Endgame+24
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave9
6Coral scored#6
29Coral points31
29Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +29
14Coral scored#21
49Coral points74
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#2
12Processor points24
16Net points8
28Algae points32
77Total teleop106
Reef
6L4#10
8L3#9
4L2#6
2L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#33
BargeRed +16
20Cage & park4
20Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points0
126Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#42
50.50.6
50.349.7
Auto6.3
Teleop36.9
End7.4
blue by 9.9
484
#22
60.41.2
54.155.3
Auto16.0
Teleop37.9
End6.6
Second
293
#45
43.30.6
43.943.3
Auto13.0
Teleop21.0
End9.3
blue by 12.7
56.01.2
48.850.0
Auto9.0
Teleop42.4
End4.6
Third
193
#48
39.80.6
34.734.1
Auto7.9
Teleop27.0
End4.8
red by 14.9
9416
#60
24.81.2
23.324.6
Auto6.1
Teleop16.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsMissed