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Red180
7550.1
568434.2
125754.9
Blue149
164052.5
599241.4
680833.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13513980100120160180200220180149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+31Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
6Leave3
6Coral scored#6
29Coral points30
35Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +29
21Coral scored#18
77Coral points66
5Processor algae#2
6Net algae#6
30Processor points12
24Net points24
54Algae points36
131Total teleop102
Reef
8L4#11
9L3#7
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
38Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
180Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1257
#12
54.93.4
46.249.6
Auto11.2
Teleop39.3
End4.4
red by 2.5
1640
#11
52.51.0
48.449.4
Auto11.8
Teleop33.8
End6.9
Second
75
#55
50.13.4
45.649.0
Auto13.7
Teleop30.7
End5.7
red by 8.6
5992
#40
41.41.0
41.142.1
Auto6.6
Teleop34.2
End0.6
Third
5684
#35
34.23.4
26.029.4
Auto8.4
Teleop17.1
End8.6
red by 0.9
6808
#59
33.21.0
32.833.8
Auto6.1
Teleop24.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsEarned26%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned