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Red219
83462.6
171245.7
31658.0
Blue153
2537.9
741447.4
851364.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191168100150200250219153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+68Teleop
+66Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave3
7Coral scored#6
35Coral points31
44Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +58
32Coral scored#22
115Coral points79
5Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
30Processor points12
16Net points12
46Algae points24
161Total teleop103
Reef
17L4#9
12L3#11
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
48Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +66
0Foul points0
219Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#9
62.62.2
65.767.9
Auto14.6
Teleop38.6
End9.4
blue by 2.0
64.61.0
62.361.4
Auto20.5
Teleop35.6
End8.5
Second
316
#20
58.02.2
49.651.8
Auto15.3
Teleop39.6
End3.0
red by 10.6
7414
#28
47.41.0
42.141.1
Auto9.1
Teleop32.3
End6.0
Third
1712
#31
45.72.2
41.443.6
Auto7.1
Teleop31.3
End7.4
red by 7.9
25
#41
37.91.0
36.435.4
Auto5.8
Teleop29.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
46%Coral oddsEarned21%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned