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Red183
55552.4
253970.3
436126.2
Blue155
909459.8
22348.4
1014328.6
78%Model gave it22%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162131100150200250183155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+8Teleop
+20Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
0Leave9
9Coral scored#4
44Coral points20
44Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +7
18Coral scored#21
65Coral points76
4Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
24Processor points12
16Net points24
40Algae points36
105Total teleop112
Reef
11L4#11
8L3#7
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
35Game pieces#33
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
8Foul points0
183Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2539
#10
70.31.4
67.669.0
Auto16.2
Teleop45.2
End8.9
red by 10.5
9094
#30
59.81.6
50.852.3
Auto14.1
Teleop37.7
End8.0
Second
555
#21
52.41.4
48.249.6
Auto13.2
Teleop31.5
End7.7
red by 4.0
223
#52
48.41.6
42.444.0
Auto8.5
Teleop37.2
End2.7
Third
4361
#54
26.21.4
27.028.4
Auto7.1
Teleop11.0
End8.2
blue by 2.4
28.61.6
27.028.6
Auto5.9
Teleop20.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
39%Coral oddsEarned27%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsEarned