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Red123
167659.6
116848.9
272035.3
Blue130
192364.5
1015722.5
704529.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167132100150200250123130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+15
Endgame+7
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave3
3Coral scored#6
17Coral points30
23Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +5
17Coral scored#17
62Coral points61
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
6Processor points12
16Net points16
22Algae points28
84Total teleop89
Reef
7L4#8
6L3#5
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
25Game pieces#29
BargeRed +8
16Cage & park8
16Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points0
123Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1676
#16
59.62.2
57.955.6
Auto14.6
Teleop37.0
End8.0
blue by 4.9
64.50.1
62.762.9
Auto20.8
Teleop42.0
End1.6
Second
1168
#50
48.92.2
49.547.3
Auto11.9
Teleop28.1
End8.9
red by 19.7
7045
#37
29.20.1
32.032.2
Auto6.5
Teleop18.3
End4.4
Third
2720
#57
35.32.2
38.135.9
Auto7.1
Teleop21.8
End6.4
red by 12.9
22.50.1
22.022.1
Auto5.9
Teleop12.0
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsMissed