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Red174
589584.9
121865.9
249532.5
Blue109
272241.0
245824.8
180759.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20213350100150250174109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+57Teleop
+79Endgame
+65Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave3
6Coral scored#5
28Coral points23
37Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +46
21Coral scored#11
75Coral points41
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#2
18Processor points18
20Net points8
38Algae points26
113Total teleop67
Reef
12L4#8
6L3#2
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
35Game pieces#21
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +65
0Foul points14
174Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.91.1
84.483.3
Auto25.3
Teleop51.0
End8.6
red by 25.7
1807
#39
59.12.8
56.854.0
Auto10.6
Teleop42.6
End5.9
Second
65.91.1
59.558.4
Auto19.7
Teleop37.1
End9.1
red by 24.9
2722
#44
41.02.8
43.941.1
Auto12.2
Teleop29.2
End-0.4
Third
2495
#56
32.51.1
35.434.3
Auto6.2
Teleop24.1
End2.2
red by 7.7
2458
#49
24.82.8
25.422.6
Auto4.9
Teleop16.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
77%Coral oddsEarned38%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned58%Barge oddsMissed