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Red131
272035.3
10364.5
245824.8
Blue124
83462.6
704529.2
1159.8
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13117350100150200250131124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+7Teleop
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points16
23Total auto16
Teleoperatedlevel
17Coral scored#19
62Coral points68
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
82Total teleop82
Reef
6L4#9
6L3#7
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
131Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
#13
64.50.3
62.462.7
Auto8.7
Teleop50.4
End5.4
red by 2.0
834
#9
62.62.4
67.965.6
Auto14.6
Teleop38.6
End9.4
Second
2720
#57
35.30.3
35.936.2
Auto7.1
Teleop21.8
End6.4
blue by 24.5
11
#26
59.82.4
54.652.2
Auto11.6
Teleop40.2
End8.0
Third
2458
#49
24.80.3
22.622.8
Auto4.9
Teleop16.3
End3.6
blue by 4.4
7045
#37
29.22.4
32.229.8
Auto6.5
Teleop18.3
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned