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Red126
599241.4
941624.8
22250.5
Blue194
164052.5
331480.3
116848.9
2%Model gave it98%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124199100150250126194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+32
Teleop+40
Endgame+72
Fouls+68
AutonomousBlue +32
6Leave3
1Coral scored#8
6Coral points41
12Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +8
16Coral scored#16
58Coral points58
3Processor algae#5
7Net algae#6
18Processor points30
28Net points24
46Algae points54
104Total teleop112
Reef
6L4#6
5L3#10
3L2#6
3L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +32
4Cage & park36
4Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +68
6Foul points2
126Total score194

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#42
50.50.3
49.749.4
Auto6.3
Teleop36.9
End7.4
blue by 29.7
3314
#15
80.30.7
76.477.1
Auto19.8
Teleop47.9
End12.6
Second
5992
#40
41.40.3
42.141.8
Auto6.6
Teleop34.2
End0.6
blue by 11.0
1640
#11
52.50.7
49.450.1
Auto11.8
Teleop33.8
End6.9
Third
9416
#60
24.80.3
24.624.3
Auto6.1
Teleop16.5
End2.2
blue by 24.1
1168
#50
48.90.7
47.347.9
Auto11.9
Teleop28.1
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed46%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed99%Barge oddsEarned