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Red175
5638.1
259055.5
48460.4
Blue149
108951.3
465338.4
36569.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157176100200250175149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+18Teleop
+18Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave0
5Coral scored#9
27Coral points44
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +32
20Coral scored#19
71Coral points69
3Processor algae#2
8Net algae#2
18Processor points12
32Net points8
50Algae points20
121Total teleop89
Reef
8L4#10
8L3#7
6L2#6
3L1 · trough#5
36Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
10Foul points2
175Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
484
#22
60.41.3
55.356.7
Auto16.0
Teleop37.9
End6.6
blue by 9.0
365
#4
69.40.9
66.966.0
Auto13.7
Teleop47.2
End8.5
Second
2590
#27
55.51.3
51.653.0
Auto11.6
Teleop35.5
End8.4
red by 4.2
1089
#58
51.30.9
52.051.1
Auto15.5
Teleop33.3
End2.5
Third
56
#51
38.11.3
38.139.4
Auto6.6
Teleop30.1
End1.3
blue by 0.3
4653
#53
38.40.9
41.040.1
Auto11.6
Teleop18.6
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed83%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned