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Qual 932025 FIRST Mid-Atlantic District Championship
Red141
680833.2
139162.3
29343.3
Blue180
125754.9
27249.1
55552.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144161100200250141180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+41
Endgame+39
Fouls+39
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave3
7Coral scored#7
37Coral points36
40Total auto39
TeleoperatedBlue +42
14Coral scored#25
49Coral points89
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
18Processor points12
8Net points16
26Algae points28
75Total teleop117
Reef
10L4#10
4L3#8
3L2#7
4L1 · trough#7
26Game pieces#38
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points0
141Total score180

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1391
#19
62.30.3
59.4→59.7
Auto12.8
Teleop40.9
End8.7
red by 7.4
1257
#12
54.92.2
49.6→51.8
Auto11.2
Teleop39.3
End4.4
Second
293
#45
43.30.3
43.3→43.6
Auto13.0
Teleop21.0
End9.3
blue by 9.1
555
#21
52.42.2
49.6→51.8
Auto13.2
Teleop31.5
End7.7
Third
6808
#59
33.20.3
33.8→34.1
Auto6.1
Teleop24.3
End2.9
blue by 15.9
272
#14
49.12.2
47.7→49.9
Auto6.8
Teleop31.1
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed37%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned