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Red167
22348.4
314260.3
2537.9
Blue189
253970.3
255446.8
7550.1
33%Model gave it67%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15518150100200250300167189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+8
Endgame+16
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +8
0Leave9
6Coral scored#6
29Coral points28
29Total auto37
Teleoperatedlevel
26Coral scored#24
94Coral points88
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
12Processor points18
16Net points16
28Algae points34
122Total teleop122
Reef
10L4#7
10L3#8
6L2#9
6L1 · trough#6
38Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points6
167Total score189

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3142
#24
60.31.2
58.960.0
Auto13.2
Teleop38.3
End8.7
blue by 10.0
2539
#10
70.30.7
69.069.6
Auto16.2
Teleop45.2
End8.9
Second
223
#52
48.41.2
44.045.2
Auto8.5
Teleop37.2
End2.7
blue by 1.7
75
#55
50.10.7
49.049.6
Auto13.7
Teleop30.7
End5.7
Third
25
#41
37.91.2
35.436.6
Auto5.8
Teleop29.4
End2.6
blue by 9.0
2554
#17
46.80.7
43.844.5
Auto13.2
Teleop30.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
38%Coral oddsEarned64%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned