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Red195
589584.9
181145.2
10239.6
Blue201
901556.9
192364.5
34180.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174214100150200250300195201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave6
10Coral scored#6
48Coral points31
54Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +25
29Coral scored#32
103Coral points114
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
6Processor points12
16Net points24
22Algae points36
125Total teleop150
Reef
13L4#15
12L3#10
10L2#7
4L1 · trough#6
44Game pieces#46
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
195Total score201

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.91.1
83.384.4
Auto25.3
Teleop51.0
End8.6
red by 4.6
341
#1
80.30.6
80.780.1
Auto13.6
Teleop56.9
End9.8
Second
1811
#32
45.21.1
45.046.1
Auto7.6
Teleop34.7
End3.0
blue by 19.2
64.50.6
62.962.3
Auto20.8
Teleop42.0
End1.6
Third
102
#43
39.61.1
39.140.1
Auto9.8
Teleop27.3
End2.6
blue by 17.3
9015
#34
56.90.6
55.354.7
Auto12.7
Teleop39.2
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
59%Coral oddsEarned97%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned