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Red244
589584.9
314260.3
34180.3
Blue209
36569.4
10364.5
139162.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions240203150250300244209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+5Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave0
10Coral scored#10
51Coral points50
51Total auto50
TeleoperatedRed +4
34Coral scored#29
123Coral points105
1Processor algae#4
7Net algae#6
6Processor points24
28Net points24
34Algae points48
157Total teleop153
Reef
12L4#16
17L3#12
9L2#6
6L1 · trough#5
52Game pieces#49
BargeRed +30
36Cage & park6
36Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
244Total score209

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.90.4
85.285.6
Auto25.3
Teleop51.0
End8.6
red by 15.5
365
#4
69.40.3
69.169.4
Auto13.7
Teleop47.2
End8.5
Second
341
#1
80.30.4
80.781.1
Auto13.6
Teleop56.9
End9.8
red by 15.8
103
#13
64.50.3
64.264.5
Auto8.7
Teleop50.4
End5.4
Third
3142
#24
60.30.4
60.661.0
Auto13.2
Teleop38.3
End8.7
blue by 2.1
1391
#19
62.30.3
62.062.3
Auto12.8
Teleop40.9
End8.7