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Red233
36569.4
10364.5
139162.3
Blue193
83462.6
259055.5
851364.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210192100150250300233193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+30Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave6
7Coral scored#9
34Coral points45
40Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +41
30Coral scored#22
109Coral points80
4Processor algae#2
6Net algae#6
24Processor points12
24Net points24
48Algae points36
157Total teleop116
Reef
17L4#11
7L3#10
7L2#7
6L1 · trough#3
47Game pieces#39
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points0
233Total score193

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#4
69.40.9
68.369.2
Auto13.7
Teleop47.2
End8.5
red by 4.8
64.60.2
65.565.7
Auto20.5
Teleop35.6
End8.5
Second
103
#13
64.50.9
63.464.3
Auto8.7
Teleop50.4
End5.4
red by 2.0
834
#9
62.60.2
63.563.7
Auto14.6
Teleop38.6
End9.4
Third
1391
#19
62.30.9
62.263.1
Auto12.8
Teleop40.9
End8.7
red by 6.8
2590
#27
55.50.2
56.456.6
Auto11.6
Teleop35.5
End8.4