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Red69
410721.5
375318.1
601731.8
Blue63
940514.8
191232.2
59017.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions866802040601001201406963

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+6Teleop
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave3
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +5
9Coral scored#8
34Coral points27
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
6Processor points0
4Net points12
10Algae points12
44Total teleop39
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#4
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
6Foul points6
69Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.5
34.533.9
Auto5.6
Teleop19.3
End6.9
blue by 0.4
1912
#11
32.20.0
25.525.5
Auto6.8
Teleop22.2
End3.1
Second
4107
#22
21.50.9
22.922.0
Auto4.5
Teleop15.9
End1.1
red by 4.5
590
#20
17.00.0
14.814.8
Auto3.1
Teleop11.5
End2.5
Third
3753
#27
18.10.9
13.612.7
Auto5.6
Teleop11.4
End1.0
red by 3.3
9405
#31
14.80.0
16.516.5
Auto2.8
Teleop8.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned25%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed