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Red68
95036.3
880834.2
36426.6
Blue19
401311.7
586314.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions786602003004005006006819

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+45Teleop
+45Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
10Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +38
8Coral scored#3
30Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
6Processor points0
12Net points0
18Algae points0
48Total teleop10
Reef
3L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
6Foul points2
68Total score19

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.21.3
26.325.0
Auto8.3
Teleop20.6
End5.2
red by 19.6
5863
#34
14.65.3
21.316.0
Auto3.7
Teleop10.2
End0.7
Second
364
#9
26.61.3
27.025.7
Auto5.3
Teleop17.7
End3.7
red by 14.9
4013
#15
11.75.3
20.114.9
Auto3.9
Teleop4.9
End2.9
Third
9503
#35
6.31.3
14.413.1
Auto1.6
Teleop4.4
End0.3
blue by 3.0
9.33.2
9.312.5
Auto2.5
Teleop6.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed