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Red155
299249.1
162210.0
601731.8
Blue49
586314.6
361624.5
375318.1
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9674020406012014015549

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+78Teleop
+88Endgame
+106Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave9
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points4
27Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +64
17Coral scored#4
62Coral points16
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
94Total teleop30
Reef
6L4#1
5L3#2
4L2#1
6L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#8
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +106
18Foul points0
155Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.15.8
35.241.0
Auto11.6
Teleop35.3
End2.1
red by 24.6
3616
#16
24.52.3
27.124.8
Auto3.9
Teleop18.4
End2.2
Second
31.84.3
29.533.7
Auto5.6
Teleop19.3
End6.9
red by 13.8
3753
#27
18.12.3
18.316.0
Auto5.6
Teleop11.4
End1.0
Third
1622
#18
10.03.5
11.214.7
Auto2.3
Teleop6.5
End1.1
blue by 4.6
5863
#34
14.62.3
16.013.8
Auto3.7
Teleop10.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed