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Red38
146625.4
940514.8
222117.5
Blue81
433629.3
192717.3
45644.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70890204060801001201403881

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+31
Endgame+31
Fouls+43
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +31
4Coral scored#13
16Coral points45
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
0Processor points6
12Net points8
12Algae points14
28Total teleop59
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
0Foul points12
38Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1466
#10
25.43.0
25.222.3
Auto4.7
Teleop20.5
End0.3
blue by 19.1
456
#2
44.50.8
27.726.9
Auto5.5
Teleop34.3
End4.7
Second
2221
#14
17.53.0
17.915.0
Auto2.4
Teleop13.0
End2.2
blue by 11.8
29.30.8
29.228.4
Auto3.5
Teleop24.4
End1.4
Third
9405
#31
14.83.0
18.415.4
Auto2.8
Teleop8.9
End3.0
blue by 2.5
1927
#25
17.30.8
19.418.6
Auto4.5
Teleop11.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsEarned