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Red83
971733.8
36426.6
59017.0
Blue57
709421.3
973414.7
410721.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions665602040801001201408357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+4Teleop
+24Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points12
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +10
10Coral scored#8
37Coral points27
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
0Processor points0
12Net points12
12Algae points12
49Total teleop39
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#13
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
2Foul points0
83Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.82.1
20.222.2
Auto6.6
Teleop20.7
End6.6
red by 12.3
4107
#22
21.50.2
21.922.1
Auto4.5
Teleop15.9
End1.1
Second
364
#9
26.62.1
25.427.5
Auto5.3
Teleop17.7
End3.7
red by 5.3
7094
#23
21.30.2
17.918.1
Auto3.7
Teleop14.6
End3.0
Third
590
#20
17.02.1
11.513.6
Auto3.1
Teleop11.5
End2.5
red by 2.3
9734
#24
14.70.2
9.59.7
Auto3.5
Teleop9.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed