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Red33
971219.4
146625.4
943510.1
Blue100
541012.5
218326.4
361624.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61810204010012033100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+45
Endgame+49
Fouls+67
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +39
7Coral scored#12
24Coral points43
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
0Processor points12
4Net points12
4Algae points24
28Total teleop67
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +67
0Foul points18
33Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1466
#10
25.43.5
22.318.8
Auto4.7
Teleop20.5
End0.3
blue by 1.0
2183
#13
26.40.1
25.525.7
Auto5.4
Teleop18.1
End2.9
Second
9712
#19
19.43.5
18.214.7
Auto3.5
Teleop13.3
End2.7
blue by 5.0
3616
#16
24.50.1
25.725.9
Auto3.9
Teleop18.4
End2.2
Third
9435
#33
10.13.5
13.59.9
Auto2.9
Teleop4.9
End2.2
blue by 2.4
5410
#29
12.50.1
17.918.0
Auto3.3
Teleop8.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed66%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsEarned