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Red84
74749.8
880834.2
146625.4
Blue40
95036.3
142120.9
971733.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions576002040801001208440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+36Teleop
+38Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave0
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +26
13Coral scored#4
48Coral points16
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
6Processor points12
4Net points4
10Algae points16
58Total teleop32
Reef
7L4#2
3L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#8
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
6Foul points0
84Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.22.5
23.426.0
Auto8.3
Teleop20.6
End5.2
red by 0.3
33.81.8
22.220.4
Auto6.6
Teleop20.7
End6.6
Second
1466
#10
25.42.5
18.821.3
Auto4.7
Teleop20.5
End0.3
red by 4.5
1421
#36
20.91.8
19.918.0
Auto0.9
Teleop17.8
End2.2
Third
7474
#32
9.82.5
7.29.7
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End2.2
red by 3.4
9503
#35
6.31.8
9.27.4
Auto1.6
Teleop4.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsMissed