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Red77
218326.4
59017.0
401311.7
Blue52
971219.4
940514.8
586314.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615202040801001201407752

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+5Teleop
+7Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave0
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +1
9Coral scored#8
33Coral points30
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
0Processor points0
8Net points12
8Algae points12
41Total teleop42
Reef
3L4#2
4L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
18Foul points0
77Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2183
#13
26.40.6
25.725.1
Auto5.4
Teleop18.1
End2.9
red by 6.9
9712
#19
19.40.6
14.714.1
Auto3.5
Teleop13.3
End2.7
Second
590
#20
17.00.6
13.613.0
Auto3.1
Teleop11.5
End2.5
red by 2.3
9405
#31
14.80.6
19.418.8
Auto2.8
Teleop8.9
End3.0
Third
4013
#15
11.70.6
14.013.5
Auto3.9
Teleop4.9
End2.9
blue by 2.9
5863
#34
14.60.6
11.410.8
Auto3.7
Teleop10.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed