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Red98
408731.9
973414.7
433629.3
Blue52
709421.3
915321.8
375318.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions755202040601001201409852

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+44Teleop
+46Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +41
16Coral scored#7
56Coral points25
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
80Total teleop39
Reef
5L4#3
5L3#2
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points0
98Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.93.0
27.130.1
Auto6.0
Teleop21.4
End4.6
red by 10.2
9153
#12
21.80.7
17.717.1
Auto6.0
Teleop15.2
End0.5
Second
29.33.0
28.131.1
Auto3.5
Teleop24.4
End1.4
red by 8.0
7094
#23
21.30.7
18.117.4
Auto3.7
Teleop14.6
End3.0
Third
9734
#24
14.73.0
9.712.7
Auto3.5
Teleop9.0
End2.3
blue by 3.3
3753
#27
18.10.7
13.112.5
Auto5.6
Teleop11.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed