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Red77
191232.2
410721.5
222117.5
Blue31
930911.4
313913.9
943510.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7635020601001201407731

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+44Teleop
+46Endgame
+46Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +44
11Coral scored#3
38Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
6Processor points0
12Net points0
18Algae points0
56Total teleop12
Reef
4L4#1
4L3#1
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#4
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
6Foul points6
77Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1912
#11
32.21.0
24.525.5
Auto6.8
Teleop22.2
End3.1
red by 18.3
3139
#17
13.91.1
18.517.4
Auto3.8
Teleop6.9
End3.2
Second
4107
#22
21.51.0
23.424.4
Auto4.5
Teleop15.9
End1.1
red by 10.1
9309
#30
11.41.1
6.65.5
Auto4.2
Teleop6.4
End0.8
Third
2221
#14
17.51.0
14.315.3
Auto2.4
Teleop13.0
End2.2
red by 7.4
9435
#33
10.11.1
9.98.8
Auto2.9
Teleop4.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed