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Red48
303921.9
361624.5
Blue49
36426.6
74749.8
162210.0
54%Model gave it46%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions665801001502002504849

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+1Teleop
Endgame+7
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +6
7Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
7Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +7
6Coral scored#5
23Coral points18
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
6Processor points0
0Net points4
6Algae points4
29Total teleop22
Reef
1L4#3
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
6Foul points0
48Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3616
#16
24.52.6
25.923.3
Auto3.9
Teleop18.4
End2.2
blue by 2.2
364
#9
26.60.9
28.928.0
Auto5.3
Teleop17.7
End3.7
Second
3039
#28
21.92.6
21.619.1
Auto6.0
Teleop13.3
End2.6
red by 11.9
1622
#18
10.00.5
10.610.1
Auto2.3
Teleop6.5
End1.1
Third
9.32.6
8.86.2
Auto2.5
Teleop6.0
End0.8
blue by 0.4
7474
#32
9.80.9
9.78.8
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsEarned